Snow??? Not Really, But ... - 10/14/13
Good afternoon! The earliest measured 1" snowfall occurred on October 12th. We're just beyond that date, and usually more concerned about frost this time of year rather than the 'white stuff'. Because the jet stream is unusually deep and south of us this weekend, it's almost plausible to want to forecast some snow. The surface pattern, per model one run, is included to your right. It shows the freezing line at cloud level to our south in Indiana and Ohio. Also portrayed is lake effect precipitation. Here's a conversation between a National Weather Service forecaster and myself regarding snow. The real name is not included for obvious reasons ... (11:25:40 AM) media-jeff.h.porter: Good morning! What are your thoughts on wet snowflakes mixing in amidst lake effect showers this weekend, especially in the morning? Thx! :-) (11:31:16 AM) nwsgrr-xxxxx.xxxxxx: Jeff, it is certainly possible, but 850 temps are a little shaky for that here. We're thinking that is a better bet up near Cadillac (11:35:43 AM) media-jeff.h.porter: Giddy up! Thanks for your time Jared. Have a great afternoon! (11:44:02 AM) nwsgrr-xxxxx.xxxxxx: Thanks, you too, Jeff! :) By the way, 850 temps are temperatures roughly at cloud level. Thanks for checking out Your Port in the Storm!